How Much Should You Trust the Sample Count?
(Note: This was originally posted on Facebook) TL;DR While the sample counts of this year’s GE saw some huge deviations, they are mostly within expectation. The two hour extension brought about some online groans from friends who didn’t want to stay up late to follow the results. To help alleviate some of this anxiety, I decided to set up a tracking sheet for the sample counts with estimated win probabilities to let people decide if the final count was worth waiting for. ...